000			03214cam a2200325Ii 4500
001			zzv143 b1764626
003			OCoLC
005			20230324121724.0
008			211223s2022 nyu e b 001 0 eng
010			_a2021040090
020			_a0593137787
020			_a9780593137789
035			_a(OCoLC)1289928560 _z(OCoLC)1252763007
040			_aDLC _beng _cFMG _erda _dFMG _dYDX _dBDX _dCNNWP _dJTB _dIK2 _dOI6 _dJAS _dEHD _drs011122 _dMiTN
050		4	_aJC328.5 _bW358 2022
082	0	0	_a303.6/4 _223/eng/20211012
100	1		_aWalter, Barbara F.,
245	1	0	_aHow civil wars start : _band how to stop them / _cBarbara F. Walter.
250			_aFirst edition.
264		1	_aNew York : _bCrown, _c[2022]
264		4	_c©2022.
300			_axxi, 294 pages ; _c22 cm.
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references (pages 231-277) and index.
505	0		_aIntroduction -- The danger of anocracy -- The rise of factions -- The dark consequences of losing status -- When hope dies -- The accelerant -- How close are we? -- What a war would look like -- Preventing a civil war.
520			_a"A leading political scientist examines the dramatic rise in violent extremism around the globe and sounds the alarm on the increasing likelihood of a second civil war in the United States. Political violence rips apart several towns in southwest Texas. A far-right militia plots to kidnap the governor of Michigan and try her for treason. An armed mob of Trump supporters and conspiracy theorists storms the U.S. Capitol. Are these isolated incidents? Or is this the start of something bigger? Barbara F. Walter has spent her career studying civil conflict in places like Iraq and Sri Lanka, but now she has become increasingly worried about her own country. Perhaps surprisingly, both autocracies and healthy democracies are largely immune from civil war; it's the countries in the middle ground that are most vulnerable. And this is where more and more countries, including the United States, are finding themselves today. Over the last two decades, the number of active civil wars around the world has almost doubled. Walter reveals the warning signs-where wars tend to start, who initiates them, what triggers them-and why some countries tip over into conflict while others remain stable. Drawing on the latest international research and lessons from over twenty countries, Walter identifies the crucial risk factors, from democratic backsliding to factionalization and the politics of resentment. A civil war today won't look like America in the 1860s, Russia in the 1920s, or Spain in the 1930s. It will begin with sporadic acts of violence and terror, accelerated by social media. It will sneak up on us and leave us wondering how we could have been so blind. In this urgent and insightful book, Walter redefines civil war for a new age, providing the framework we need to confront the danger we now face-and the knowledge to stop it before it's too late"-- _cProvided by publisher.
650		0	_aCivil war.
650		0	_aDemocratization.
650		0	_aDomestic terrorism.
776	0	8	_iOnline version: _aWalter, Barbara F. _tHow civil wars start _dNew York : Crown, [2022] _z9780593137796 _w(DLC) 2021040091.
999			_c522895 _d522895