Noise : a flaw in human judgment / Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, Cass R. Sunstein.
Publisher: New York : Little, Brown Spark, 2021Copyright date: ©2021Edition: First editionDescription: ix, 454 pages : illustrations ; 25 cmContent type:- text
- unmediated
- volume
- 0316451401
- 9780316451406
- 153.8/3 23
- BF448 .K35 2021
Item type | Current library | Shelving location | Call number | Copy number | Status | Date due | Barcode | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book | NMC Library | Stacks | BF448 .K35 2021 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | 1 | Available | 33039001497733 |
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BF448 .G49 2013 Sidetracked : why our decisions get derailed, and how we can stick to the plan / | BF448 .G53 2005 Blink : the power of thinking without thinking / | BF448 .H35 2002 Smart choices : a practical guide to making better decisions / | BF448 .K35 2021 Noise : a flaw in human judgment / | BF448 .L45 2009 How we decide / | BF455 .B74 1990 Acts of meaning / | BF455 .H2713 2014 The psychology of language : from data to theory / |
Includes bibliographical references (pages 399-438) and index.
Introduction: Two kinds of error -- Part I. Finding noise: Crime and noisy punishment ; A noisy system ; Singular decisions -- Part II. Your mind is a measuring instrument: Matters of judgment ; Measuring error ; The analysis of noise ; Occasion noise ; How groups amplify noise -- Part III. Noise in predictive judgment: Judgments and models ; Noiseless rules ; Objective ignorance ; The valley of the normal -- Part IV. How noise happens: Heuristics, biases, and noise ; The matching operation ; Scale ; Patterns ; The sources of noise -- Part V. Improving judgments: Better judges for better judgments ; Debiasing and decision hygiene ; Sequencing information in forensic science ; Selection and aggregation in forecasting ; Guidelines in medicine ; Defining the scale in performance ratings ; Structure in hiring ; The mediating assessments protocol -- Part VI. Optimal noise: The costs of noise reduction ; Dignity ; Rules or standards? -- Review and conclusion: Taking noise seriously -- Epilogue: A less noisy world -- Appendix A: How to conduct a noise audit -- Appendix B: A checklist for a decision observer -- Appendix C: Correcting predictions.
Discusses why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones by reducing the influence of "noise"--variables that can cause bias in decision making--and draws on examples in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, strategy, and personnel selection.